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Qual 652018 Heartland Regional
Red225
938108.8
1710156.3
1994123.6
Blue353
4786141.7
3184145.6
4959145.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions276324100200300400500225353

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1710
#14
156.32.9
145.2→148.1
Auto20.9
Teleop120.3
End15.0
red by 10.5
4959
#11
145.80.3
142.8→143.1
Auto22.8
Teleop108.3
End13.3
Second
1994
#40
123.63.4
116.9→120.3
Auto13.6
Teleop94.0
End18.2
blue by 22.0
3184
#9
145.64.2
132.6→136.8
Auto18.2
Teleop112.1
End17.7
Third
938
#34
108.81.6
107.9→109.5
Auto13.2
Teleop90.8
End4.1
blue by 32.9
4786
#6
141.70.9
135.9→136.8
Auto17.8
Teleop105.0
End18.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed66%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed