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Qual 672018 Heartland Regional
Red308
1810130.8
1997126.4
4522157.1
Blue254
1847121.6
1984145.8
6317123.7
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions347266100200300400500308254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4522
#3
157.14.2
143.3→147.5
Auto19.8
Teleop113.6
End25.0
red by 11.2
1984
#10
145.81.2
141.6→142.8
Auto20.4
Teleop104.6
End22.8
Second
1810
#18
130.80.3
128.3→128.6
Auto17.9
Teleop96.5
End17.5
red by 7.0
6317
#27
123.71.5
126.2→124.7
Auto18.0
Teleop93.8
End11.0
Third
1997
#25
126.42.0
122.3→124.3
Auto15.3
Teleop102.2
End10.7
red by 4.8
1847
#28
121.61.5
116.9→118.4
Auto17.4
Teleop95.8
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned55%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed