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Qual 712018 Heartland Regional
Red354
4786141.7
4646129.3
5809111.6
Blue263
1723161.9
1777131.4
200196.6
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282334100200400500600354263

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4786
#6
141.71.4
136.8→138.2
Auto17.8
Teleop105.0
End18.6
blue by 20.2
1723
#4
161.94.1
148.9→153.0
Auto23.7
Teleop117.6
End26.1
Second
4646
#31
129.31.4
125.7→127.1
Auto18.3
Teleop96.7
End11.9
blue by 2.0
1777
#26
131.41.8
126.8→128.5
Auto15.2
Teleop100.1
End21.2
Third
5809
#30
111.61.6
107.2→108.9
Auto17.1
Teleop81.7
End13.7
red by 15.0
2001
#41
96.60.3
95.6→95.9
Auto14.4
Teleop73.1
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
61%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed