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Red384
1806155.0
1730184.0
1810130.8
Blue329
1984145.8
1723161.9
2410125.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363327100200400500600384329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.00.5
182.0182.5
Auto25.2
Teleop141.6
End16.4
red by 22.1
161.90.8
160.4161.2
Auto23.7
Teleop117.6
End26.1
Second
1806
#13
155.00.0
155.1155.0
Auto19.8
Teleop117.8
End15.3
red by 9.2
1984
#10
145.80.4
145.0145.4
Auto20.4
Teleop104.6
End22.8
Third
1810
#18
130.80.0
130.6130.6
Auto17.9
Teleop96.5
End17.5
red by 5.2
2410
#36
125.60.9
123.7124.7
Auto17.6
Teleop92.8
End20.5