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Quarterfinal 1-22018 Greater Kansas City Regional
Red460
1723194.6
1986166.2
5098117.8
Blue234
2164131.1
5809120.3
1825147.5
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions407270100200500600700460234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1723
#3
194.60.8
190.9→191.7
Auto27.1
Teleop141.5
End26.7
red by 47.2
1825
#18
147.50.3
147.2→147.5
Auto16.3
Teleop115.1
End16.5
Second
1986
#1
166.20.6
163.4→164.0
Auto21.9
Teleop119.7
End24.8
red by 35.1
2164
#16
131.10.5
130.6→131.1
Auto17.3
Teleop102.8
End10.2
Third
5098
#32
117.80.2
116.9→117.1
Auto13.1
Teleop91.3
End14.5
blue by 2.4
5809
#14
120.30.6
119.7→120.3
Auto17.1
Teleop88.6
End16.5