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Red259
932155.3
5889157.2
2345122.0
Blue211
1764140.6
2457135.1
4809102.5
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354266100200300400500600259211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.20.3
156.5156.9
Auto18.7
Teleop128.7
End9.7
red by 16.6
1764
#12
140.60.3
140.2140.6
Auto20.8
Teleop106.6
End14.0
Second
932
#6
155.30.1
155.3155.4
Auto20.6
Teleop124.3
End10.8
red by 20.2
135.10.4
134.7135.1
Auto17.7
Teleop95.8
End24.5
Third
2345
#28
122.00.0
122.3122.3
Auto17.1
Teleop93.0
End11.4
red by 19.6
4809
#19
102.50.4
102.0102.5
Auto15.4
Teleop83.6
End5.2