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Red208
2352160.0
6886164.5
5126126.7
Blue334
3284155.0
5801152.0
1997133.4
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions339322200250300400450500208334

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.50.3
163.9164.1
Auto21.0
Teleop123.2
End21.6
red by 9.4
3284
#13
155.00.1
154.1154.3
Auto18.6
Teleop116.4
End21.9
Second
160.00.5
158.8159.2
Auto21.6
Teleop114.9
End24.2
red by 8.0
5801
#10
152.00.3
150.2150.5
Auto17.6
Teleop120.9
End15.1
Third
5126
#22
126.70.3
126.1126.3
Auto17.7
Teleop96.8
End13.2
blue by 6.7
1997
#15
133.40.2
132.3132.4
Auto17.7
Teleop100.6
End17.1