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Red211
935131.9
5013145.0
2560118.0
Blue341
1987153.6
1763145.7
5082112.0
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3323150100200400500600700211341

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.00.0
145.0145.1
Auto17.9
Teleop109.5
End18.3
blue by 8.6
1987
#23
153.60.1
154.0153.9
Auto21.3
Teleop114.9
End16.8
Second
935
#11
131.90.2
131.5131.8
Auto18.3
Teleop96.7
End18.1
blue by 13.8
145.70.4
144.1144.5
Auto18.4
Teleop110.7
End16.9
Third
2560
#26
118.00.7
116.8117.5
Auto17.0
Teleop91.7
End11.9
red by 6.0
5082
#17
112.00.7
109.1109.8
Auto15.6
Teleop83.3
End14.5