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Red143
1769120.2
2352160.0
1997133.4
Blue429
1723194.6
5968125.7
2457135.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions299324200400500143429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.013.2
102.2115.4
Auto21.6
Teleop114.9
End24.2
blue by 34.6
194.62.5
164.2166.6
Auto27.1
Teleop141.5
End26.7
Second
1997
#15
133.41.2
127.0128.3
Auto17.7
Teleop100.6
End17.1
blue by 1.7
135.11.3
122.1123.4
Auto17.7
Teleop95.8
End24.5
Third
1769
#29
120.20.8
126.3125.5
Auto17.2
Teleop91.0
End13.0
blue by 5.5
5968
#24
125.710.6
82.493.0
Auto16.5
Teleop98.1
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed47%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed