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Red230
1802104.0
1763145.7
6805117.8
Blue210
1769120.2
2345122.0
1775134.1
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2692850100200400500600230210

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.78.0
102.2110.2
Auto18.4
Teleop110.7
End16.9
red by 11.5
1775
#33
134.13.0
118.2121.2
Auto15.9
Teleop104.2
End15.6
Second
6805
#27
117.87.3
86.994.2
Auto15.7
Teleop83.1
End21.0
blue by 4.2
2345
#28
122.08.6
103.4112.0
Auto17.1
Teleop93.0
End11.4
Third
1802
#36
104.05.5
91.897.4
Auto14.7
Teleop81.0
End8.2
blue by 16.2
1769
#29
120.21.7
125.5123.8
Auto17.2
Teleop91.0
End13.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed