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Red128
935131.9
6817104.3
5141116.2
Blue373
1723194.6
5801152.0
235792.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2313670100200300400500600128373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#11
131.90.2
119.5119.7
Auto18.3
Teleop96.7
End18.1
blue by 62.7
194.62.9
166.6169.6
Auto27.1
Teleop141.5
End26.7
Second
5141
#38
116.28.2
100.6108.8
Auto15.9
Teleop88.2
End13.8
blue by 35.8
5801
#10
152.06.5
118.3124.8
Auto17.6
Teleop120.9
End15.1
Third
6817
#30
104.36.1
88.394.4
Auto15.1
Teleop80.6
End11.9
red by 12.1
2357
#40
92.23.8
93.497.3
Auto12.4
Teleop75.6
End4.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed58%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed