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Qual 242018 Greater Kansas City Regional
Red223
6976102.8
5801152.0
5141116.2
Blue236
1288117.1
2164131.1
937101.7
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293245150200350400450500223236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5801
#10
152.04.2
124.8→128.9
Auto17.6
Teleop120.9
End15.1
red by 20.9
2164
#16
131.11.0
123.5→124.5
Auto17.3
Teleop102.8
End10.2
Second
5141
#38
116.24.3
108.8→113.1
Auto15.9
Teleop88.2
End13.8
blue by 0.8
1288
#39
117.10.0
116.5→116.4
Auto14.4
Teleop89.1
End15.5
Third
6976
#37
102.85.1
96.3→101.5
Auto11.2
Teleop84.3
End5.3
red by 1.0
937
#34
101.71.9
88.7→90.6
Auto15.6
Teleop79.0
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed