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Red171
5126126.7
6817104.3
235792.2
Blue102
1802104.0
6542117.7
1288117.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2462930100200400500600171102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5126
#22
126.715.5
79.094.5
Auto17.7
Teleop96.8
End13.2
red by 9.0
6542
#20
117.714.2
91.0105.2
Auto16.7
Teleop85.6
End14.3
Second
6817
#30
104.326.2
103.977.7
Auto15.1
Teleop80.6
End11.9
blue by 12.8
1288
#39
117.11.7
113.9115.6
Auto14.4
Teleop89.1
End15.5
Third
2357
#40
92.216.9
66.583.4
Auto12.4
Teleop75.6
End4.1
blue by 11.8
1802
#36
104.017.0
65.382.4
Auto14.7
Teleop81.0
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed