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Qual 312018 Greater Kansas City Regional
Red262
5098117.8
5126126.7
1764140.6
Blue268
1997133.4
5889157.2
6817104.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2652930100200400500262268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1764
#12
140.60.1
135.4→135.3
Auto20.8
Teleop106.6
End14.0
blue by 16.6
5889
#5
157.22.7
139.8→142.5
Auto18.7
Teleop128.7
End9.7
Second
5126
#22
126.71.4
111.1→112.5
Auto17.7
Teleop96.8
End13.2
blue by 6.7
1997
#15
133.40.3
128.2→127.9
Auto17.7
Teleop100.6
End17.1
Third
5098
#32
117.81.7
119.4→121.1
Auto13.1
Teleop91.3
End14.5
red by 13.5
6817
#30
104.30.5
97.5→97.9
Auto15.1
Teleop80.6
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed