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Red230
2164131.1
3172124.1
2345122.0
Blue356
1987153.6
3284155.0
2457135.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237389100200300500230356

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2164
#16
131.11.2
124.5125.7
Auto17.3
Teleop102.8
End10.2
blue by 23.9
3284
#13
155.00.9
150.8151.7
Auto18.6
Teleop116.4
End21.9
Second
3172
#21
124.11.8
113.0114.8
Auto16.4
Teleop95.9
End12.2
blue by 29.5
1987
#23
153.64.7
139.7144.4
Auto21.3
Teleop114.9
End16.8
Third
2345
#28
122.01.9
117.4119.3
Auto17.1
Teleop93.0
End11.4
blue by 13.1
135.12.5
126.9129.4
Auto17.7
Teleop95.8
End24.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed40%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed