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Red307
5968125.7
935131.9
4809102.5
Blue229
5141116.2
1769120.2
3284155.0
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions236336100200300400500307229

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#11
131.90.9
119.4120.4
Auto18.3
Teleop96.7
End18.1
blue by 23.1
3284
#13
155.00.6
151.7152.3
Auto18.6
Teleop116.4
End21.9
Second
5968
#24
125.73.4
109.8113.2
Auto16.5
Teleop98.1
End10.3
red by 5.5
1769
#29
120.20.0
122.4122.3
Auto17.2
Teleop91.0
End13.0
Third
4809
#19
102.52.7
95.898.5
Auto15.4
Teleop83.6
End5.2
blue by 13.8
5141
#38
116.21.3
113.1114.4
Auto15.9
Teleop88.2
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed