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Red107
937101.7
6886164.5
287489.7
Blue399
6805117.8
5801152.0
5809120.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2832690100200400500107399

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.52.3
151.0153.3
Auto21.0
Teleop123.2
End21.6
red by 12.4
5801
#10
152.00.4
130.2130.6
Auto17.6
Teleop120.9
End15.1
Second
937
#34
101.72.7
93.195.8
Auto15.6
Teleop79.0
End8.5
blue by 18.6
5809
#14
120.30.4
112.5112.9
Auto17.1
Teleop88.6
End16.5
Third
2874
#42
89.72.5
96.093.5
Auto13.5
Teleop69.0
End8.5
blue by 28.1
6805
#27
117.82.9
103.3106.2
Auto15.7
Teleop83.1
End21.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed14%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed