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Red291
1288117.1
5126126.7
2352160.0
Blue283
7064108.3
1987153.6
1769120.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289286200250300350400291283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.03.6
136.1139.8
Auto21.6
Teleop114.9
End24.2
red by 6.4
1987
#23
153.62.7
144.4147.0
Auto21.3
Teleop114.9
End16.8
Second
5126
#22
126.71.6
112.5114.0
Auto17.7
Teleop96.8
End13.2
red by 6.5
1769
#29
120.20.6
122.3121.8
Auto17.2
Teleop91.0
End13.0
Third
1288
#39
117.10.6
116.8117.5
Auto14.4
Teleop89.1
End15.5
red by 8.8
7064
#41
108.31.0
103.8104.7
Auto16.0
Teleop85.6
End6.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
17%Auto Quest oddsMissed18%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed