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Red237
3284155.0
2560118.0
7064108.3
Blue295
5889157.2
1775134.1
5801152.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions256330100200300400500237295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#13
155.00.1
152.3152.2
Auto18.6
Teleop116.4
End21.9
blue by 2.2
157.22.3
144.4146.7
Auto18.7
Teleop128.7
End9.7
Second
2560
#26
118.04.2
105.6109.8
Auto17.0
Teleop91.7
End11.9
blue by 34.0
5801
#10
152.03.4
130.6134.0
Auto17.6
Teleop120.9
End15.1
Third
7064
#41
108.31.9
104.7106.7
Auto16.0
Teleop85.6
End6.8
blue by 25.9
1775
#33
134.11.3
127.1128.4
Auto15.9
Teleop104.2
End15.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsEarned30%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed