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Red427
1764140.6
1987153.6
938103.2
Blue267
1825147.5
5141116.2
2345122.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289277100200400500427267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#23
153.613.3
99.0112.4
Auto21.3
Teleop114.9
End16.8
red by 6.1
1825
#18
147.515.3
80.796.0
Auto16.3
Teleop115.1
End16.5
Second
1764
#12
140.60.8
132.5133.2
Auto20.8
Teleop106.6
End14.0
red by 18.5
2345
#28
122.015.9
75.791.5
Auto17.1
Teleop93.0
End11.4
Third
938
#25
103.21.2
108.8107.6
Auto14.5
Teleop85.2
End3.8
blue by 13.0
5141
#38
116.216.3
72.288.5
Auto15.9
Teleop88.2
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
48%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed