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Red272
1987153.6
6542117.7
937101.7
Blue245
1723194.6
287489.7
7064108.3
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2873190100200400500600700272245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#23
153.62.2
150.2152.4
Auto21.3
Teleop114.9
End16.8
blue by 41.1
194.62.2
178.5180.7
Auto27.1
Teleop141.5
End26.7
Second
6542
#20
117.71.7
126.9125.2
Auto16.7
Teleop85.6
End14.3
red by 9.4
7064
#41
108.31.1
106.7107.8
Auto16.0
Teleop85.6
End6.8
Third
937
#34
101.73.3
95.799.0
Auto15.6
Teleop79.0
End8.5
red by 12.0
2874
#42
89.71.2
90.291.4
Auto13.5
Teleop69.0
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsEarned35%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed