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Red242
2345122.0
5809120.3
1987153.6
Blue303
2560118.0
6976102.8
935131.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions349271100200300400500242303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1987
#23
153.61.3
153.3154.6
Auto21.3
Teleop114.9
End16.8
red by 21.7
935
#11
131.91.2
128.8130.0
Auto18.3
Teleop96.7
End18.1
Second
2345
#28
122.00.5
125.1124.7
Auto17.1
Teleop93.0
End11.4
red by 4.0
2560
#26
118.01.7
112.3114.0
Auto17.0
Teleop91.7
End11.9
Third
5809
#14
120.31.3
115.7117.0
Auto17.1
Teleop88.6
End16.5
red by 17.5
6976
#37
102.80.5
104.8104.3
Auto11.2
Teleop84.3
End5.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed