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Red132
1763145.7
518995.1
5968125.7
Blue338
4809102.5
1986166.2
5126126.7
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions265323100200300400500132338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.73.4
138.9142.3
Auto18.4
Teleop110.7
End16.9
blue by 20.5
166.21.6
158.5160.1
Auto21.9
Teleop119.7
End24.8
Second
5968
#24
125.70.1
126.9127.0
Auto16.5
Teleop98.1
End10.3
blue by 1.0
5126
#22
126.71.6
123.0124.6
Auto17.7
Teleop96.8
End13.2
Third
5189
#31
95.11.2
100.599.3
Auto19.7
Teleop73.7
End1.4
blue by 7.4
4809
#19
102.51.3
102.2101.0
Auto15.4
Teleop83.6
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsMissed