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Red103
937101.7
235792.2
5013145.0
Blue333
2345122.0
5098117.8
5082112.0
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions306254100200400500103333

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
145.02.2
142.7144.9
Auto17.9
Teleop109.5
End18.3
red by 23.0
2345
#28
122.01.1
123.1122.0
Auto17.1
Teleop93.0
End11.4
Second
937
#34
101.71.1
101.0102.1
Auto15.6
Teleop79.0
End8.5
blue by 16.1
5098
#32
117.81.7
118.7117.0
Auto13.1
Teleop91.3
End14.5
Third
2357
#40
92.21.5
95.794.3
Auto12.4
Teleop75.6
End4.1
blue by 19.8
5082
#17
112.01.6
105.6107.2
Auto15.6
Teleop83.3
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed