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Red369
182787.5
1288117.1
5889157.2
Blue270
1775134.1
5141116.2
1987153.6
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions271327100150200250300350400450369270

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
157.21.6
152.0153.6
Auto18.7
Teleop128.7
End9.7
red by 3.6
1987
#23
153.60.3
154.6154.3
Auto21.3
Teleop114.9
End16.8
Second
1288
#39
117.11.1
118.4117.2
Auto14.4
Teleop89.1
End15.5
blue by 17.1
1775
#33
134.11.2
132.2133.4
Auto15.9
Teleop104.2
End15.6
Third
1827
#43
87.51.1
88.487.3
Auto14.6
Teleop71.7
End-0.7
blue by 28.7
5141
#38
116.22.1
112.8114.9
Auto15.9
Teleop88.2
End13.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed