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Red417
1706192.7
1806185.3
7117114.7
Blue215
4256136.6
3397169.1
5809126.4
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions424258100200300500600700800417215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1706
Unranked
192.70.0
192.7192.7
Auto24.1
Teleop144.9
End24.3
red by 23.6
3397
Unranked
169.10.0
169.1169.1
Auto18.8
Teleop124.6
End24.2
Second
1806
Unranked
185.30.0
185.3185.3
Auto21.5
Teleop140.6
End24.2
red by 48.7
4256
Unranked
136.60.0
136.6136.6
Auto16.5
Teleop105.2
End14.4
Third
7117
Unranked
114.70.0
114.7114.7
Auto12.6
Teleop93.1
End13.7
blue by 11.6
5809
Unranked
126.40.0
126.4126.4
Auto18.7
Teleop92.6
End16.1