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Quarterfinal 4-12018 Missouri State Championship
Red126
3792153.3
1730178.8
6817103.9
Blue431
4256136.6
3397169.1
5809126.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions366303100200400500600700126431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1730
Unranked
178.80.0
178.8→178.8
Auto25.3
Teleop137.1
End14.8
red by 9.7
3397
Unranked
169.10.0
169.1→169.1
Auto18.8
Teleop124.6
End24.2
Second
3792
Unranked
153.30.0
153.3→153.3
Auto16.3
Teleop120.7
End12.2
red by 16.7
4256
Unranked
136.60.0
136.6→136.6
Auto16.5
Teleop105.2
End14.4
Third
6817
Unranked
103.90.0
103.9→103.9
Auto15.1
Teleop78.8
End12.8
blue by 22.4
5809
Unranked
126.40.0
126.4→126.4
Auto18.7
Teleop92.6
End16.1