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Red370
1806185.3
6886161.8
3397169.1
Blue158
7117114.7
2978122.2
7255105.9
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4531700100200300400500600370158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1806
Unranked
185.30.0
185.3185.3
Auto21.5
Teleop140.6
End24.2
red by 63.1
2978
Unranked
122.20.0
122.2122.2
Auto17.1
Teleop88.5
End14.7
Second
3397
Unranked
169.10.0
169.1169.1
Auto18.8
Teleop124.6
End24.2
red by 54.3
7117
Unranked
114.70.0
114.7114.7
Auto12.6
Teleop93.1
End13.7
Third
6886
Unranked
161.80.0
161.8161.8
Auto21.6
Teleop121.4
End15.3
red by 55.9
7255
Unranked
105.90.0
105.9105.9
Auto15.9
Teleop81.4
End9.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
91%Auto Quest odds41%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss odds3%Face the Boss odds