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Red297
6424163.0
1939154.6
1825147.5
Blue429
6886161.8
1178163.3
1730178.8
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2884040100200500600297429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6424
Unranked
163.00.0
163.0163.0
Auto18.2
Teleop124.4
End17.4
blue by 15.8
1730
Unranked
178.80.0
178.8178.8
Auto25.3
Teleop137.1
End14.8
Second
1939
Unranked
154.60.0
154.6154.6
Auto16.8
Teleop118.3
End19.5
blue by 8.7
1178
Unranked
163.30.0
163.3163.3
Auto21.6
Teleop116.3
End23.4
Third
1825
Unranked
147.50.0
147.5147.5
Auto16.3
Teleop115.1
End16.5
blue by 14.3
6886
Unranked
161.80.0
161.8161.8
Auto21.6
Teleop121.4
End15.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest odds93%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss odds7%Face the Boss odds