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Red403
6886161.8
5013148.8
1444134.7
Blue187
931137.3
3792153.3
4329134.7
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions380268100200300500600700403187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6886
Unranked
161.80.0
161.8161.8
Auto21.6
Teleop121.4
End15.3
red by 8.5
3792
Unranked
153.30.0
153.3153.3
Auto16.3
Teleop120.7
End12.2
Second
5013
Unranked
148.80.0
148.8148.8
Auto20.9
Teleop108.6
End18.7
red by 11.5
931
Unranked
137.30.0
137.3137.3
Auto16.1
Teleop105.1
End18.3
Third
1444
Unranked
134.70.0
134.7134.7
Auto16.3
Teleop102.3
End18.2
blue by 0.1
4329
Unranked
134.70.0
134.7134.7
Auto13.8
Teleop106.9
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
87%Auto Quest odds63%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss odds4%Face the Boss odds