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Red317
5013148.8
1706192.7
1178163.3
Blue414
1939154.6
1986202.2
6817103.9
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions398289100200500600700317414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1706
Unranked
192.70.0
192.7192.7
Auto24.1
Teleop144.9
End24.3
blue by 9.4
1986
Unranked
202.20.0
202.2202.2
Auto22.9
Teleop144.5
End34.1
Second
1178
Unranked
163.30.0
163.3163.3
Auto21.6
Teleop116.3
End23.4
red by 8.7
1939
Unranked
154.60.0
154.6154.6
Auto16.8
Teleop118.3
End19.5
Third
5013
Unranked
148.80.0
148.8148.8
Auto20.9
Teleop108.6
End18.7
red by 44.9
6817
Unranked
103.90.0
103.9103.9
Auto15.1
Teleop78.8
End12.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest odds68%Auto Quest odds
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss odds37%Face the Boss odds