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Qual 142018 St. Louis Regional
Red124
2022120.1
5836116.8
3197142.5
Blue163
5326107.9
6744126.2
7117114.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2672460100200300400500600124163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3197
#6
142.58.9
97.0→105.9
Auto20.7
Teleop104.9
End21.1
red by 16.3
6744
#23
126.211.2
83.0→94.3
Auto16.8
Teleop94.3
End13.4
Second
2022
#39
120.19.3
98.2→107.5
Auto15.5
Teleop93.7
End10.8
red by 5.4
7117
#9
114.710.4
77.7→88.1
Auto12.6
Teleop93.1
End13.7
Third
5836
#17
116.87.8
78.3→86.1
Auto13.5
Teleop89.3
End13.7
red by 9.0
5326
#45
107.98.5
88.6→97.1
Auto16.6
Teleop82.9
End8.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed