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Qual 242018 St. Louis Regional
Red382
2081151.1
3284148.0
1625154.7
Blue106
7117114.7
1985120.3
4600114.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2912490100200400500600382106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1625
#12
154.71.5
118.4→119.9
Auto23.2
Teleop116.9
End17.2
red by 34.4
1985
#32
120.36.6
114.4→120.9
Auto11.9
Teleop94.3
End13.6
Second
2081
#8
151.16.2
111.8→118.1
Auto20.0
Teleop117.4
End12.5
red by 36.2
4600
#44
114.910.7
96.3→107.0
Auto12.5
Teleop93.6
End9.9
Third
3284
#11
148.06.4
122.1→128.5
Auto17.4
Teleop113.3
End20.9
red by 33.3
7117
#9
114.76.2
88.1→94.4
Auto12.6
Teleop93.1
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed16%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed