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Qual 392018 St. Louis Regional
Red326
1208137.9
6391128.7
1732153.8
Blue209
4187110.4
6660111.8
2081151.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330213100300400500326209

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1732
#7
153.82.3
131.8→134.2
Auto24.9
Teleop110.9
End16.7
red by 2.7
2081
#8
151.15.7
124.8→130.5
Auto20.0
Teleop117.4
End12.5
Second
1208
#18
137.93.6
125.8→129.4
Auto17.1
Teleop108.1
End11.4
red by 26.1
6660
#38
111.83.0
97.4→100.4
Auto12.8
Teleop88.5
End11.6
Third
6391
#26
128.76.1
110.6→116.7
Auto14.6
Teleop102.9
End13.3
red by 18.3
4187
#46
110.41.0
106.9→107.8
Auto16.3
Teleop79.7
End18.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed