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Qual 452018 St. Louis Regional
Red155
4600114.9
2783130.4
4256125.3
Blue266
5176115.2
2022120.1
1706147.1
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295259100150200350400450155266

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2783
#19
130.43.3
121.1→124.4
Auto15.2
Teleop101.6
End13.5
blue by 16.7
1706
#4
147.13.7
126.3→130.1
Auto20.7
Teleop113.1
End12.4
Second
4256
#35
125.33.6
128.5→132.2
Auto15.0
Teleop98.9
End13.3
red by 5.2
2022
#39
120.11.5
112.8→114.2
Auto15.5
Teleop93.7
End10.8
Third
4600
#44
114.91.5
116.5→118.0
Auto12.5
Teleop93.6
End9.9
blue by 0.3
5176
#40
115.20.7
112.3→113.0
Auto16.2
Teleop90.9
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed