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Red333
2481176.4
3814132.7
1208137.9
Blue222
1985120.3
2451168.1
6391128.7
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324274100200300400500333222

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176.43.1
159.0162.1
Auto22.5
Teleop136.2
End20.5
red by 8.3
168.13.9
146.4150.3
Auto21.2
Teleop130.5
End20.4
Second
1208
#18
137.93.7
129.4133.1
Auto17.1
Teleop108.1
End11.4
red by 9.2
6391
#26
128.75.3
116.7122.1
Auto14.6
Teleop102.9
End13.3
Third
3814
#13
132.70.7
126.2126.9
Auto17.8
Teleop100.9
End14.6
red by 12.4
1985
#32
120.30.7
124.3125.0
Auto11.9
Teleop94.3
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsEarned36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed