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Qual 492018 St. Louis Regional
Red364
1658149.9
2978122.2
5836116.8
Blue255
4356116.6
2707108.4
6660111.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions310233100200400500364255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1658
#15
149.94.7
130.1→134.8
Auto20.2
Teleop105.5
End27.3
red by 33.2
4356
#25
116.62.0
106.2→108.2
Auto18.5
Teleop91.3
End10.3
Second
2978
#20
122.23.2
117.1→120.3
Auto17.1
Teleop88.5
End14.7
red by 10.3
6660
#38
111.81.6
100.4→102.0
Auto12.8
Teleop88.5
End11.6
Third
5836
#17
116.83.7
96.7→100.4
Auto13.5
Teleop89.3
End13.7
red by 8.5
2707
#48
108.44.1
99.7→103.8
Auto11.6
Teleop83.5
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed