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Red383
6744126.2
1625154.7
1178154.9
Blue282
3397163.4
2783130.4
4187110.4
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions331290100200400500383282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
154.95.8
128.5134.3
Auto18.6
Teleop109.6
End26.7
blue by 8.5
163.41.8
154.6156.4
Auto17.8
Teleop119.3
End30.2
Second
1625
#12
154.74.8
133.4138.2
Auto23.2
Teleop116.9
End17.2
red by 24.2
2783
#19
130.40.2
124.4124.2
Auto15.2
Teleop101.6
End13.5
Third
6744
#23
126.21.4
115.6117.0
Auto16.8
Teleop94.3
End13.4
red by 15.9
4187
#46
110.41.3
108.0109.2
Auto16.3
Teleop79.7
End18.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
47%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsEarned