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Red230
1985120.3
4931120.7
4330117.6
Blue295
1658149.9
4256125.3
1178154.9
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261346100200300400500600230295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4931
#31
120.71.3
119.0120.4
Auto13.1
Teleop93.5
End18.2
blue by 34.2
154.95.2
134.3139.5
Auto18.6
Teleop109.6
End26.7
Second
1985
#32
120.32.6
124.3121.7
Auto11.9
Teleop94.3
End13.6
blue by 29.6
1658
#15
149.95.4
134.8140.2
Auto20.2
Teleop105.5
End27.3
Third
4330
#42
117.61.3
116.6118.0
Auto16.3
Teleop83.1
End17.1
blue by 7.7
4256
#35
125.31.3
132.2130.9
Auto15.0
Teleop98.9
End13.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed