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Qual 622018 St. Louis Regional
Red291
6391128.7
4500120.9
3397163.4
Blue236
2022120.1
5147115.2
2707108.4
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions335253100200300400500291236

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3397
#5
163.42.0
156.4→158.4
Auto17.8
Teleop119.3
End30.2
red by 43.3
2022
#39
120.12.9
115.1→118.0
Auto15.5
Teleop93.7
End10.8
Second
6391
#26
128.72.0
124.6→126.5
Auto14.6
Teleop102.9
End13.3
red by 13.5
5147
#21
115.23.3
106.1→109.3
Auto17.2
Teleop81.0
End24.3
Third
4500
#29
120.90.2
119.5→119.3
Auto16.0
Teleop94.2
End7.5
red by 12.5
2707
#48
108.40.2
107.6→107.8
Auto11.6
Teleop83.5
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed