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Red105
2707108.4
7117114.7
6391128.7
Blue226
6744126.2
1329115.2
1985120.3
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions290248100200400500105226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6391
#26
128.71.9
126.5128.5
Auto14.6
Teleop102.9
End13.3
red by 2.5
6744
#23
126.23.5
119.4122.9
Auto16.8
Teleop94.3
End13.4
Second
114.73.4
108.1111.5
Auto12.6
Teleop93.1
End13.7
blue by 5.6
1985
#32
120.31.4
121.7120.3
Auto11.9
Teleop94.3
End13.6
Third
2707
#48
108.40.8
107.8108.6
Auto11.6
Teleop83.5
End12.3
blue by 6.9
1329
#37
115.21.1
112.5113.6
Auto16.3
Teleop88.3
End11.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsMissed17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed