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Red242
931124.4
5147115.2
3284148.0
Blue403
4329135.7
1658149.9
1208137.9
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303338150200250400450500242403

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3284
#11
148.01.2
145.7146.9
Auto17.4
Teleop113.3
End20.9
blue by 1.9
1658
#15
149.91.7
145.6147.3
Auto20.2
Teleop105.5
End27.3
Second
931
#22
124.42.1
121.4123.5
Auto14.4
Teleop97.8
End16.7
blue by 13.5
1208
#18
137.90.1
138.0137.9
Auto17.1
Teleop108.1
End11.4
Third
5147
#21
115.23.1
112.1115.2
Auto17.2
Teleop81.0
End24.3
blue by 20.5
4329
#30
135.73.8
129.8133.6
Auto15.3
Teleop102.5
End19.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsEarned27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed