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Red35
5836116.8
4330117.6
2783130.4
Blue257
6391128.7
4232114.1
3284148.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions293276010020040050060035257

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2783
#19
130.413.6
96.4110.0
Auto15.2
Teleop101.6
End13.5
blue by 17.6
3284
#11
148.013.3
99.6112.9
Auto17.4
Teleop113.3
End20.9
Second
4330
#42
117.614.8
85.5100.3
Auto16.3
Teleop83.1
End17.1
blue by 11.1
6391
#26
128.717.0
65.282.2
Auto14.6
Teleop102.9
End13.3
Third
5836
#17
116.817.6
60.878.3
Auto13.5
Teleop89.3
End13.7
red by 2.8
4232
#43
114.117.1
65.182.1
Auto15.7
Teleop87.3
End11.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed