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Qual 812018 St. Louis Regional
Red379
506098.0
3692109.4
2451168.1
Blue296
1625154.7
2978122.2
4187110.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2883010100200400500600379296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2451
#3
168.13.0
157.7→160.7
Auto21.2
Teleop130.5
End20.4
red by 13.4
1625
#12
154.74.7
147.6→152.3
Auto23.2
Teleop116.9
End17.2
Second
3692
#36
109.41.2
108.3→109.4
Auto15.6
Teleop81.5
End16.6
blue by 12.7
2978
#20
122.21.2
122.4→121.2
Auto17.1
Teleop88.5
End14.7
Third
5060
#41
98.01.7
99.7→98.0
Auto13.3
Teleop81.2
End4.9
blue by 12.4
4187
#46
110.41.2
111.6→110.4
Auto16.3
Teleop79.7
End18.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned64%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed