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Semifinal 1-22018 St. Louis Regional
Red371
2451168.1
2481176.4
4256125.3
Blue247
1444134.7
3197142.5
4356116.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions391265100200300500600371247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2481
#1
176.40.7
174.3→175.0
Auto22.5
Teleop136.2
End20.5
red by 33.9
3197
#6
142.51.1
141.4→142.5
Auto20.7
Teleop104.9
End21.1
Second
2451
#3
168.11.2
164.6→165.9
Auto21.2
Teleop130.5
End20.4
red by 33.5
1444
#10
134.70.5
134.1→134.7
Auto16.3
Teleop102.3
End18.2
Third
4256
#35
125.30.3
126.2→125.8
Auto15.0
Teleop98.9
End13.3
red by 8.7
4356
#25
116.60.7
116.0→116.6
Auto18.5
Teleop91.3
End10.3