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Red325
1640191.4
25211.2
1089154.0
Blue324
1923185.1
303196.9
708165.5
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions396352100200300500600325324

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25
#2
211.20.4
209.4209.8
Auto24.8
Teleop166.3
End19.8
red by 14.3
303
#10
196.90.0
196.9196.9
Auto23.6
Teleop142.4
End31.3
Second
1640
#20
191.40.1
191.1191.2
Auto20.9
Teleop146.3
End23.3
red by 6.4
1923
#15
185.10.1
184.9185.1
Auto23.9
Teleop143.7
End17.9
Third
1089
#45
154.00.2
153.0153.3
Auto20.0
Teleop117.9
End18.0
blue by 11.5
708
#26
165.50.4
165.1165.5
Auto20.2
Teleop122.7
End22.0