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Red349
365196.9
56200.2
103154.7
Blue393
3314180.9
1712170.5
1676161.6
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4053300100200500600700800349393

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#3
200.20.1
200.0200.1
Auto26.2
Teleop141.9
End33.8
red by 19.3
180.90.4
179.1179.5
Auto23.9
Teleop125.4
End32.1
Second
365
#6
196.90.1
196.7196.8
Auto24.6
Teleop147.8
End23.7
red by 26.4
170.50.1
169.9170.0
Auto21.4
Teleop131.6
End14.6
Third
103
#39
154.70.2
154.3154.5
Auto17.6
Teleop127.0
End10.5
blue by 6.9
1676
#14
161.60.3
160.1160.4
Auto19.3
Teleop118.3
End23.7