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Red265
1989143.5
203142.7
3974130.9
Blue432
5420161.1
365196.9
2607163.4
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2404290100200300500600700265432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1989
#43
143.51.2
145.6144.4
Auto18.9
Teleop102.6
End19.8
blue by 53.4
365
#6
196.90.7
195.0195.7
Auto24.6
Teleop147.8
End23.7
Second
203
#57
142.70.9
144.3143.5
Auto15.3
Teleop112.8
End12.7
blue by 20.7
2607
#28
163.40.1
163.3163.1
Auto17.1
Teleop120.0
End28.4
Third
3974
#48
130.90.4
131.7131.3
Auto18.5
Teleop99.8
End12.2
blue by 30.2
5420
#46
161.11.5
157.9159.5
Auto18.9
Teleop120.8
End22.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
54%Auto Quest oddsEarned82%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed25%Face the Boss oddsMissed