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Red441
2180140.4
2495126.4
1391171.8
Blue275
303196.9
1807151.1
2016149.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2973890100200500600441275

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
171.81.1
167.3168.3
Auto21.6
Teleop122.7
End28.7
blue by 25.1
303
#10
196.90.3
198.1197.8
Auto23.6
Teleop142.4
End31.3
Second
2180
#22
140.40.9
141.2140.3
Auto18.4
Teleop108.1
End14.6
blue by 10.6
1807
#42
151.10.4
150.8151.3
Auto18.6
Teleop114.4
End15.7
Third
2495
#37
126.40.4
126.3125.9
Auto15.7
Teleop94.8
End18.6
blue by 22.9
2016
#34
149.30.3
151.6151.4
Auto22.9
Teleop110.9
End13.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
81%Auto Quest oddsEarned91%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsEarned12%Face the Boss oddsMissed