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Red453
41139.7
56200.2
3637165.8
Blue255
5992124.1
1257146.7
222177.8
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4073000100200500600453255

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
56
#3
200.20.7
197.8198.5
Auto26.2
Teleop141.9
End33.8
red by 22.4
222
#38
177.81.0
179.9178.9
Auto23.8
Teleop132.0
End22.6
Second
3637
#31
165.80.1
164.9165.0
Auto18.8
Teleop126.3
End22.3
red by 19.1
1257
#54
146.70.9
148.7147.8
Auto18.4
Teleop113.4
End14.9
Third
41
#25
139.70.7
137.8138.5
Auto18.4
Teleop104.4
End20.9
red by 15.6
5992
#50
124.10.0
124.4124.4
Auto16.5
Teleop89.7
End18.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
90%Auto Quest oddsEarned76%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
10%Face the Boss oddsEarned8%Face the Boss oddsMissed